-- begin forwarded message: -- To Use a War By Diana Johnstone Covert Action Quarterly Richard Holbrooke, TO END A WAR (New York: Random House, 1998); 408 pages, $27.95. Throughout three years of war in Bosnia-Herzegovina, the United States showed less interest in ending the war than in denouncing any possible European-brokered compromise settlement1 asÒappeasing aggressionÓ or betrayingÒmulticulturalÓ Sarajevo. Then in mid-1995, the Clinton administration was faced with having to keep a promise to help its NATO allies withdraw their troops from the United Nations Protection Force stationed in Bosnia-Herzegovina. This would have meant engaging U.S. forces there, a move strongly opposed in both Congress and the Pentagon. In danger of being caught between a hostile Congress and disgruntled European allies, with the risk of discrediting the U.S. commitment to NATO, the Clinton administration dispatched Richard Holbrooke to make the very sort of compromise deal that the U.S. had previously scorned. Ostensibly, HolbrookeÕs assignment in 1995 wasÒto end a war.Ó It was also, and especially, to use a war to further U.S. policy aims in Europe. Before ending it (for how long?), the United States used the war in Bosnia-Herzegovina to reassert its supremacy in Europe and further the conversion of NATO into a global instrument of power projection. Three years later, the United States has been using the Kosovo conflict in Serbia to confirm and expand the NATO role.2 Far from achieving lasting peace and reconciliation, this instrumentalization of conflicts has actually made them more intractable than ever. Especially in Kosovo, outside interference is a main cause of the killing that took place in recent months. More war is virtually certain. Understandably, Holbrooke has not written a book to explain the real nature and aims of U.S. policy, but to justify his own role in an enterprise that may become more controversial as events direct public attention to what was wrong with the peace agreement that Holbrooke imposed on the rival Yugoslav leaders in Dayton, Ohio, on November 21, 1995. Sharing responsibility for what he knows was a perilously flawed diplomatic result, and incidentally countering frequent charges of being an uncooperative egotist, Holbrooke stresses the excellent teamwork he achieved as head of the U.S. mission. Otherwise, he makes a special point of his vigorous role in getting NATO to bomb and re-bomb the Bosnian Serbs prior to negotiations. Zeal for bombing would be a novel boast in a peacemaker. Holbrooke, however, does not belong to the category of peacemakers, but of war-enders, the big birds of prey who come in to sort out and pick the bones on the battlefield. ÒLetÕs Win This One for the GipperÓ Although he scarcely puts it this way, HolbrookeÕs double mission was to strengthen U.S. leadership of NATO and at the same time appease the Bosnia3 lobby in the U.S., which included not only Senators such as Bob Dole and Joe Biden, but also important members of the Clinton administration such as Al Gore and Madeleine Albright. This required a great show ofÒgetting tough with the Serbs.Ó Serbian President Slobodan Milosevic had long been anxious to settle the war in Bosnia-Herzegovina at almost any price, in order to get international sanctions lifted.4 For months, the Clinton administration had been rejecting a peace settlement that was within reach of Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Robert Frasure, who had been holding talks with Milosevic. Now, however, Holbrooke was sent in to end the war on the basis of the talks already held between Frasure and Milosevic. On August 19, the U.S. negotiating team including Holbrooke and Frasure was being driven into Sarajevo from a helicopter base on Mount Igman when a piece of the road broke off under the weight of one of the two armored vehicles carrying the Americans. The vehicle plummeted down the steep mountainside and burst into flames. Frasure and two other high-ranking Americans were killed. This shocking accident, rather than the fate of Bosnia, provides Holbrooke with his opening chapter and theÒtragic leitmotifÓ that runs through his book. The loss of these American colleagues emerges as the overriding Bosnian tragedy. As sacrificed martyr, Frasure no doubt considerably helped HolbrookeÒsellÓ his deal to the divided Clinton administration. It was necessary toÒwin this one for the Gipper.Ó ÒBombing the Serbs to the Negotiating TableÓ Frasure had recommended negotiating the fate of Bosnia-Herzegovina not with the Bosnian Serbs themselves, who were directly involved, but with Milosevic. Frasure knew that Milosevic was fed up with the Bosnian Serb leaders and was ready to do almost anything to overcome SerbiaÕs international isolation. The way to sideline Bosnian Serb leader Radovan Karadzic was provided by the International Criminal Tribunal (ICT) set up by the U.N. Security Council in The Hague to judgeÒwar crimes in the former Yugoslavia.Ó The ICT made a great point of placing Karadzic at the top of itsÒwantedÓ list, although the case against him was no stronger than cases that could beÐbut never areÐmade against Croatian President Franjo Tudjman or President Alija Izetbegovic of Bosnia-Herzegovina himself. Holbrooke declared that he would not negotiate withÒindicted war criminals,Ó thus making sure that the Bosnian Serbs had to delegate authority to the President of Serbia. With the help of the Serbian Orthodox Church, Milosevic gave Holbrooke his trump card: an agreement by the Bosnian Serb leaders to allow the Serbian President to negotiate on their behalf. Still, before undertaking peace talks with the three Presidents, Milosevic, Izetbegovic, and Tudjman (who had no trouble representing the Bosnian Croats, since it was his own Croatian army that had been fighting in Bosnia-Herzegovina on their behalf5), Holbrooke was eager for NATO to bomb. NATO was all prepared. However, itÒtook an outrageous Bosnian Serb action to trigger Operation Deliberate Force,Ó recalls Holbrooke. This happened right on time. On August 28, Holbrooke arrived in Paris to work out a negotiating position with Izetbegovic and his foreign minister, Muhamed Sacirbey. That day, CNN reported a particularly gruesome bomb massacre in downtown Sarajevo, with scores of civilian victims. The timing was perfect. Later that day, at his second meeting with Holbrooke, Izetbegovic hadÒchanged into a sort of paramilitary outfit, complete with loose khakis, a scarf, and a beret bearing a Bosnian insignia.Ó ThusÒdressed like an aging Left Bank revolutionary,Ó IzetbegovicÒdemanded that NATO launch strikes against the Bosnian Serbs immediately. Sacirbey went further, saying his President would not see us again until NATO began bombing...Ó (p. 96). Izetbegovic was exclusivelyÒfocused on the necessity for immediate NATO bombing, and wary of negotiations....Ó ÒFrom Pale the Bosnian Serbs accused the Bosnian Muslims of staging the incident to draw NATO into the war,Ó Holbrooke recalls. Within NATO, experts disagreed, and U.N. Secretary General Boutros Boutros-Ghali called for an investigation.ÒNone of this mattered much,Ó according to Holbrooke.ÒWhat counted was whether the United States would act decisively and persuade its NATO allies to join in the sort of massive air campaign that we had so often talked about but never even come close to undertaking.Ó (pp. 91-92) The opportunity was too good to miss. AmericanÒexpertsÓ instantly attributed the massacre to the Serbs. Holbrooke fails to mention that British ammunition experts serving with the U.N. in Sarajevo said they found no evidence that Bosnian Serbs had fired the lethal mortar round and suspected the Bosnian government army might have been responsible.6 Whoever was responsible, everything was ready for bombing the Serbs. The following evening was chronicled by the fashionable Paris writer Bernard-Henri Lévy (BHL), who arrived with Sacirbey at the American ambassadorÕs residence for a dinner hosted byÒthe lovely Pamela Harriman.Ó Holbrooke kept leaving the party for the telephone, which struck BHL as rude, until he saw Izetbegovic in his strange costume sitting in an adjoining room, and realized that the American negotiator was working out final details of the major air strikes that began at 2:00 a.m. the next morning. Bombing the Serbs was the social event of the season. TheÒOperation Deliberate ForceÓ air strikes on Bosnian Serb targets gave rise to a useful and oft-repeated falsehood: that NATO air strikes were necessary toÒbomb the Serbs to the negotiating table.Ó In reality, the Serbs were eager to negotiate and to make peace. Izetbegovic, on the contrary, wanted to continue the war. Even when the Serbs lifted the siege of Sarajevo, Izetbegovic was not satisfied.ÒHe would prefer to let the people of Sarajevo live under Serb guns for a while longer if it also meant that the NATO bombing would continue,Ó Holbrooke observed. Prime Minister Haris SilajdzicÒshowed even greater furyÓ in demanding more bombing. In short, it was never a matter ofÒbombing the Serbs to the negotiating table.Ó Rather, NATO had to bomb the Serbs in order to get the Muslims to the negotiating table. ÒBombs For PeaceÓ The air raids ended on September 1, and Holbrooke began to look for a new pretext to get them started again. In the absence of a massacre, some Serbian hyperbole had to do. In an angry letter to the French U.N. forces commander in Bosnia, Bosnian Serb commander General Ratko Mladic called NATO bombingÒmore brutalÓ than Nazi bombing of Belgrade, because NATO had targeted churches and cemeteries during funerals of victims.ÒWhen we saw MladicÕs letter, we assumed it resolved any question about resuming the bombing,Ó writes Holbrooke.ÒWhat answer other than a resumption of the bombing was appropriate under the circumstances?Ó7 Holbrooke rushed to the Turkish capital, Ankara, where Izetbegovic had many friends in high places, to persuade Izetbegovic to accept the U.S. draft for negotiations about to begin in Geneva. As usual, Izetbegovic balked.ÒThe Bosnians are barely on board,Ó Holbrooke warned, in an urgent call to the White House from Ankara,Ò...and when we see Izetbegovic again in the morning for a last review of the draft, the bombing must have resumed.Ó He concluded dramatically:ÒGive us bombs for peaceÓ (p. 132). Thus a second and more deadly wave of NATOÒbombing for peaceÓ began on September 5. Tomahawk cruise missiles and F-117s came into play. Once the decision to bomb was taken,Òthe Navy and the Air Force both wanted to publicize, especially to Congress, the value of their new weaponry. For the Navy, this meant the Tomahawks, which were launched from naval vessels in the Adriatic. For the Air Force, it meant the expensive and controversial F-117, whose value had been questioned by some Pentagon criticsÓ (p.145). This bombing campaign was stopped only when Pentagon officers informed the State Department that NATO was running out of authorized targets. Meanwhile, the bombing had knocked out Serb communications and enabled forces of the U.S.-contrivedÒBosnian-Croatian FederationÓÐan extremely uneasy alliance between TudjmanÕs Croatian Army and IzetbegovicÕs forcesÐto conquer large swathes of territory in Western Bosnia inhabited almost exclusively by Serbs. According to Holbrooke, this generatedÒat least one hundred thousand Serb refugeesÓ (p. 154), in addition to about double that many who only a few weeks earlier had been driven out of their homes in the Croatian Krajina region by TudjmanÕs army, with German arms and U.S. approval. All this time, Holbrooke was urging Tudjman to take more Serb towns in Western Bosnia, but to stop short of capturing Banja Luka. Holbrooke explains this restraint by the fact that capturing Banja Luka would generate over two hundred thousand additional refugees, and heÒdid not think the United States should encourage an action that would create so many more refugees.Ó (p.160) Holbrooke was aware thatÒwe could be accused of applying a double standard.Ó ÒUsing a provocative phrase normally applied only to the Serbs, I told Tudjman that current Croatian behavior might be viewed as a milder form of ethnic cleansing.Ó Aside from this rare burst of humanitarian concern, ending the Federation offensive was necessary because the Serbs were recovering from the bombing and mending their defenses, and even more because the Croat and Muslim forces in the region were starting to turn on each other. At the top, this was reflected in TudjmanÕsÒdeep hatred of the MuslimsÓ and theÒintense personal animosityÓ between Tudjman and Izetbegovic that came out when they were brought together. Good Guys and Bad Guys The basic reason for the NATO bombing goes to the heart of U.S. foreign policy. As Holbrooke tells it, the roots of Bosnia policy go back to ClintonÕs first election campaign in 1992, when his advisers were aware that his weak point in relation to Bush was foreign policy. They concluded that Bosnia would make an excellent election campaign issue (p. 41), one on which the Democratic candidate could attack Bush and appear more forward-looking. Thus on August 14, 1992, Clinton gave a speech promising toÒmake the United States the catalyst for a collective stand against aggression.Ó This was the traditionalÒworld leadershipÓ stand of the United States, now shifting into aÒcollectiveÓ stand of theÒinternational community.Ó In order to take such a stand against aggression, there is need for ÒaggressionÓ to fit traditionalÒworld leadershipÓ rhetoric. Only in the face ofÒaggression,Ó preferably by anÒevilÓ adversary whoÒrefuses to negotiate,Ó can it become clear why it takes the United States to be theÒcatalystÓ: its overwhelming military power. It is essential to illustrate that diplomacy can succeed only in conjunction with the overwhelming military force represented by U.S. air power. Otherwise, one might as well turn the whole problem over to a bunch of Scandinavians. For bombing to be used, however,ÒoutrageÓ is necessary (ÒIt took an outrageous Bosnian Serb action to trigger Operation Deliberate ForceÓ) against a singleÒbad guy,Ó the villain, the aggressor. And once there is a singleÒbad guy,Ó his adversaries are automatically promoted intoÒgood guys Ó...who proceed to exploit their position shamelessly. So it was that as Milosevic was transformed into Satan, Tudjman and Izetbegovic were increasingly able to blackmail the United States to get what they wanted. This pattern is repeating itself today, with potentially even more disastrous consequences, with the Albanians in Kosovo. Whatever the difficulties in taming Izetbegovic or Tudjman, the United States succeeded in the more important task of putting the European Allies in their place. At the end of his adventure, Holbrooke could find satisfaction in the fact that NATO had for the first time actedÒout of area, Ó and that even the French had acknowledged thatÒAmerica is back.Ó When the irritable Bosnian Muslims finally came to Dayton, they constantly obstructed the negotiations and each other. After a fortnight in Dayton, Holbrooke reported to Undersecretary of State Warren Christopher that the most disturbing problem he faced was theÒimmense difficulty of engaging the Bosnian government in a serious negotiation.Ó Bitter personal rivalry divided Prime Minister Haris Silajdzic and Muhamed Sacirbey, while the dour Izetbegovic never showed any interest whatsoever in making peace. ÒAny form of compromise, even minor gestures of reconciliation to those Serbs who had not wanted war and were ready to re-establish some form of multiethnic community, was not easy for Izetbegovic. His eyes had a cold and distant gaze; after so much suffering, they seemed dead to anyone elseÕs pain.... although he paid lip service to the principles of a multi-ethnic state, he was not the democrat that some supporters in the West saw,Ó recounts Holbrooke (p. 97). Although Silajdzic, on the other hand, spoke with passion about the need to recreate a multiethnic country,Òhe referred to the Croats with such animosity that I did not see how he could ever cooperate with themÓ (p. 97). Silajdzic and Sacirbey both occasionally flew into rages against Holbrooke and shouted that the Muslims would never give in to U.S. threats or blackmail. Holbrooke, on the other hand, more than once gave into Muslim blackmail, notably by agreeing toÒequip and trainÓ Muslim forces after the peace accords. As the Dayton talks were at the eleventh hour, Holbrooke was deeply concernedÒthat even if Milosevic makes more concessions, the Bosnians will simply raise the ante.Ó Western officials were wondering: Does Izetbegovic even want a deal? And Holbrooke wasnÕt sure:ÒSometimes he seems to want revenge more than peace....Ó And HolbrookeÕs colleague Chris Hill complained that:ÒThese people are impossible to help.Ó Clearly, Dayton would never have produced any agreement at all without the unflagging help of the one participant who really seemed anxious for peace: Slobodan Milosevic. From start to finish, Milosevic is described as cheerful, alert, quick to understand, and above all, ready to make concession after concession. He spoke excellent English and loved the United States, even Dayton and PackyÕs Sports Bar. He looked back nostalgically on his trips to New York when he was a banker in TitoÕs Yugoslavia, he sang along with a trio of American black women sergeants singingÒBoogie Woogie Bugle BoyÓ (while Izetbegovic sat sullenly), he was the life of the party.ÒWatching Milosevic turn on the charm, Warren Christopher observed that had fate dealt him a different birthplace and education, he would have been a successful politician in a democratic system.Ó In fact, Milosevic was a successful politician (although a disastrous statesman) in aÒtransitionalÓ system that was at least as democratic as those run by Tudjman or Izetbegovic, and probably more so. Dayton is a chronicle of concessions made by Milosevic. Indeed, many of the concessions were invented by Milosevic to get the talks out of an impasse. At the very end, it was, typically, Milosevic who saved Dayton from total failure, when once again, Izetbegovic had rejected what everyone else thought was an agreement. Volunteering toÒwalk the final mile for peace,Ó Milosevic offered to agree to arbitration for Brcko in a year. This was a huge and perhaps fatal concession. When he heard that Izetbegovic had finally, if reluctantly, accepted his offer, Milosevic had tears in his eyes. Unrequited Love Milosevic again and again saved the negotiations by giving up something. He got next to nothing in return. On December 14, 1995, President Clinton joined the three Balkan presidents in Paris for the ceremonial signing of the agreement reached in Dayton. ÒFinally came the PresidentÕs first discussion with Milosevic. The While House had taken care to ensure that there would be no photographs of the encounter. Still, this was a meeting Milosevic had long wanted; it put him on a plane with other world leaders after years of isolation.ÔI know this agreement would not have been possible without you,Õ President Clinton said, cool and slightly distant.ÔYou made Dayton possible. Now you must help make it work.Õ ÒMilosevic said that the key to peace lay in strict implementation of the Dayton agreements. Then he requested full normalization of U.S.-Yugoslav (i.e., Serbian) relations. We swiftly ended the discussion.Ó (p. 322) The sanctions wereÒsuspended,Ó but not lifted, as Milosevic had hoped. And what the United States calls theÒouter wallÓ of sanctionsÐthe exclusion of Serbia/Yugoslavia from international institutions such as the United Nations and its agencies, the Organization for Cooperation and Security in Europe (OSCE), the World Bank, etc.Ðremains in place. Thus BelgradeÕs diplomatic isolation, its inability to speak for itself in international forums, has been maintained.8 The Holbrooke-Milosevic encounter created a mutual dependency. Each man has needed the other to produceÒresults,Ó even though the results produced may eventually turn out to be disappointing, even disastrous. The Dayton Accords do not lay the groundwork of a lasting peace, and contain the seeds of renewed war. To bribe Izetbegovic, the United States agreed to arm and train the Bosnian Muslims. As Holbrooke himself acknowledged in his book, this wasÒthe most controversialÓ of all programs. The U.S. military Òhated the idea,Ó so did the Europeans, and finally, it made no sense to sign a peace agreement for a single Bosnia-Herzegovina, and then arm one faction of it. In an ideal world, admits Holbrooke, all the armies should have been sharply reduced and merged into a single force. But NATO refused to accept the job of implementing a disarmament program. ThisÒEquip and TrainÓ program, largely farmed out to Turkey, was supported byÒa powerful group of Senators led by Republican Majority Leader Bob Dole and two senior Democrats, Joe Lieberman of Connecticut and Joe Biden of Delaware.Ó It was defended in congressional hearings by none other than the Reagan administrationÕsÒPrince of Darkness,Ó former Assistant Secretary of Defense Richard Perle, a notorious arms buildup enthusiast, who represented the Muslim side in military negotiations at Dayton. The other major failure at Dayton was the absence of any agreement on the status of the town of Brcko, which connects the two parts of Serbian Bosnia, ÒRepublika Srpska.Ó Together, these two factors mean that only prolonged outside military occupation can prevent the rearmed Muslim forces from renewing the war against the Serbs. Meanwhile, supposedlyÒmulticulturalÓ Sarajevo has been transformed by IzetbegovicÕs ruling party, the Democratic Action Party (SDA), into an increasingly exclusive Muslim city. The Croats retain tight and exclusive control of their territory. The Serbs have always been more divided among themselves, but ostentatiousÒinternational communityÓ support for the ÒmoderatesÓ led by Biljana Plavsic, including NATO action (recommended by Holbrooke) to shut down Bosnian SerbÒnationalistÓ television, led to Plavsic Õs defeat in elections last December. This political defeat was such a blow to theÒinternational communityÓ officials actually running Bosnia-Herzegovina that it took them several days to pull themselves together and announce the results. Whatever else one can say for them, the September 1998 elections showed that neither television nor money from the Òinternational communityÓ determined the way Bosnian Serbs vote. Resentment ofÒinternational communityÓ control, as instituted by the Dayton Accords, is by now the one thing that Muslims, Serbs and Croats in Bosnia-Herzegovina can agree on. But Holbrooke himself and the wholeÒinternational communityÓ chorus of officials and media keep repeating their standard excuse for any and all failures of Dayton: It is all becauseÒSerbian war criminalsÓ have not been arrested. This pursues the Manichean myth of moralistic power politics: The world would be a fine place, with everybody going about their business, if it werenÕt disrupted from time to time byÒbad guys.Ó The solution to all world political problems is thus a court to punish theÒcriminals.Ó The same pattern is reproducing itself over Kosovo. Milosevic still has only one ambition: to end his countryÕs isolation. He is still looking to the United States and hisÒfriendÓ Holbrooke to get him out of the Kosovo trap. And Holbrooke needs the pliable Milosevic to give him anotherÒsuccess.Ó Prior to Dayton, Holbrooke obtained what he calledÒsomething of a diplomatic innovationÐa document drafted by us but signed only by the Serbs as a unilateral undertaking.9 None of us was aware of diplomatic precedent for this, but it fit our needs perfectly.Ó This was the same formula used recently by Holbrooke for Kosovo, by which Milosevic unilaterally agreed to remove Yugoslav security forces from a section of their own country, and to let internationalÒverifiersÓ wander around the country to make sure they had really left. This in return for nothing. As a result, the armed ethnic Albanian rebels are more convinced than ever that they have the support of the United States and NATO, and are readying their spring offensive. Milosevic, who set out to bring unity and prosperity to Yugoslavia, is a dramatic failure as a leader. Unlike the media propaganda, he is neither a dictator nor a racist nor a bloodthirsty tyrant. He is a vain, clever, manipulative political leader who drastically misjudged the situation of Yugoslavia in the post-communist transition period, and who keeps masking his failures with unreal optimism. Although recent events have inevitably given them second thoughts, most Serbs want to think of America as their friend. They retain memories of alliance in two World Wars, their educated children emigrate en masse to Canada and the United States. Milosevic has kept hoping to be accepted by America. This feeling was, by all accounts, enforced by conviction that European leaders could not be relied upon as partners, and that only the United States has the power to make a deal stick. All this has made Milosevic an indispensably weak and accommodating partner for Holbrooke. In Serbia, very many people are convinced that Milosevic is kept in power solely by the Americans, who need him to give away Yugoslavia bit by bit. There is even a widespread belief that Milosevic wants NATO to force him to give up Kosovo, since he doesnÕt know what else to do with it, and that military offensives against ethnic Albanian separatists are only part of the scenario of turning the territory over to NATO. Many Serbs believe that after Kosovo, theÒinternational communityÓ will step up its encouragement of separatism in Montenegro, the Vojvodina and the Novi Pazar region (calledÒthe SanjakÓ), using Milosevic simultaneously as pretext and broker for ongoing disintegration, until there is nothing left of Serbia but the Sumadija forest region whereÒBlack GeorgeÓ led his peasant revolt against Ottoman oppression nearly two hundred years ago.10 And when theyÕve used him to establish a NATO protectorate in the Balkans, it is predicted, the Americans will throw Milosevic away like a squeezed out lemon peel. Instead of retirement in New York, or even Dayton, Milosevic may be sent to The Hague for a show trial. Ignorance, Images, and Analogy Construction ÒWashington is well known as a city where social events can have policy consequences,Ó observes Holbrooke. SupportingÒBosniaÓ meaning the Muslims, early became both politically correct and socially acceptable in Washington. Holbrooke describes how he first joined the cause.ÒIn the spring of 1992, I saw the Bosnian Ambassador to the United Nations, Muhamed Sacirbey, on television calling on the world to save his nation. Impressed with his passion and eloquence, I phoned him, introducing myself as an admirer of his cause, and offered my support. Sacirbey thus became my first Bosnian friend. Ó The fact that thisÒfirst Bosnian friendÓ was an American no doubt made the matter easier. Sacirbey came from aÒdistinguishedÓ family and had played first-string football at Tulane University.ÒMoÓ SacirbeyÒwas tough, strong, and fit.Ó Good material for the fraternity. TheÒbeyÓ in the name Sacirbey, like theÒbegÓ in Izetbegovic, is a trace of the OttomanÒbeys,Ó the aristocracy that monopolized property and power under Turkish rule. Their Democratic Action Party (SDA) represents descendants of the ruling class that was overthrown by egalitarian peasant revolts in the 19th century. To many Bosnian Serbs (who, until only twenty years ago, were the majority in Bosnia-Herzegovina), creation of a Muslim-led Bosnia inevitably looked like an attempt to restore the ancien régime, dominated by those professing the Muslim faith. SDA leaders maintain close ties with Turkey. Through NATO, Turkey is being brought back into Balkan lands it ruled for 500 years. Such historical background was of no concern to Holbrooke. Like so many others, he excuses his ignorance of history by dismissing it as inconsequential. The perfect rationalization for this ignorance was provided by the writings of Noel Malcolm, whose books on Bosnia and Kosovo have come along just in time to provide rationalization for anti-Serb positions.11 ÒMalcolm undermined the conventional wisdom that the war was the inevitable result of ancient hatreds,Ó notes Holbrooke gratefully. Thus Holbrooke, Òexecutive summaryÓ style, replaces one reductionism with another: if the war wasnÕtÒinevitableÓ on account ofÒancient hatreds,Ó it must all be the fault of the Serbs. With history out of the way, the conflict was judged by images and analogies. HolbrookeÕs account confirms the crucial importance in forming U.S. policy of the famousÒbarbed wireÓ photo exposed by German journalist Thomas Deichmann as deceptive.12 In August 1992, Holbrooke went on a fact-finding mission to Sarajevo to find out aboutÒthe death camps that have gotten so much publicity.Ó Like other WesternÒfact findersÓ of the period, Holbrooke was apparently totally unaware of the equally dreadful prison camps run by Muslims in and around Sarajevo itself.13 Holbrooke noted in his diary thatÒtelevision pictures rouse the worldÓ and areÒthe reason we are here.Ó (p. 36) As a U.N. official observed,Òa few pictures of people being held behind barbed wire and the world goes crazy.Ó The termÒdeath campsÓ is part of the analogy construction which served to identify Serbs with Nazis. As Holbrooke puts it,Ò...in the summer of 1992, the world began to see shocking film of emaciated prisoners in northern Bosnia, looking at the unblinking camera through barbed-wire fences, scenes straight out of World War IIÐyet happening now.Ó The Nazi analogy dispenses the outsider from even attempting to understand the causes of a conflict and the viewpoints of the various parties, and to search for solutions on that basis. The problem is reduced to the existence ofÒevilÓ which needs to be eradicated. Holbrooke readily concludes thatÒthe search for explanations failed. One simply had to recognize that there was pure evil in the world.Ó But where was thisÒpure evilÓ? Not, apparently, on the Muslim side, even after U.N. troops in Bosnia unearthed a stash of terrorist weapons, including anti-personnel explosive devices disguised as toys, in the possession of Islamic Mujahidin under command of IzetbegovicÕs SDA.14 At one point, HolbrookeÕs Hungarian-born wife Kati Marton worried that her husband might be killed by theÒHamas wing of the Serbs.Ó This is pure fantasy, all the more surprising coming from a woman who has published books on political matters. There has never been anything like aÒHamas wing of the Serbs.Ó On the other hand, the fact that IzetbegovicÕs Bosnia actually had become a Mecca for Islamist Mujahidin from all over the Middle East, many of them veterans of Afghanistan, linked to terrorist networks in several countries and violently anti-Western, only provided another motive for the United States to support Izetbegovic, supposedly to weaken his dependence on Iran. The presence of Mujahidin among ethnic Albanian separatists in Kosovo is producing the same reaction. In Paris for the December 14 ceremonial signing of the accords, President Clinton complained to Izetbegovic about the Mujahidin who were lingering on in Bosnia, in violation of their agreement. Holbrooke recalls:ÒIzetbegovic told the President that the bulk of such personnelÔhad already left,Õ a statement we knew not to be true.Ó But Izetbegovic can lie; he is aÒgood guy,Ó the leader of the victims. Things They Said In an age in whichÒimageÓ is reasserting its supremacy over ideas, all the focus has been on the media image of the protagonists. Their ideas are ignored or distorted. Flagrant double standards have been employed in interpreting statements by Serb or Muslim leaders. ÒI would sacrifice peace for a sovereign Bosnia-Herzegovina, but for that peace in Bosnia-Herzegovina I would not sacrifice sovereignty,Ó Izetbegovic declared on February 27, 1991.15 At that time, there was peace but no Òsovereign Bosnia Herzegovina.Ó It was only a year later that, over protests of its FOOTNOTES 1.ÊSee the numerous index references to the United States in: David Owen, Balkan Odyssey (London: Victor Gollancz, 1995). 2.ÊSee the very clear summary of U.S. policy in William PfaffÕs column carried by the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, published in the International Herald Tribune, Dec. 5, 1998, asÒWashingtonÕs New Vision for NATO Could Be Divisive.Ó Excerpts:ÒThe Holbrooke-Milosevic agreement on Kosovo in October was accurately described by Richard Holbrooke as an unprecedented event. NATO had intervened in an internal conflict inside a sovereign non-NATO state, not to defend its own members but to force that other state to halt repression of a rebellious ethnic minority.... Washington sees this as a precedent for a new NATO that would deal with a variety of existing and future problems inside and outside Europe. This goes beyond Balkan unrest to proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, as in Iraq, Iran, and South Asia, other troublemaking byÔrogue statesÕ international terrorism and even the drug trade.... Zbigniew Brzezinski, in his latest book (The Grand Chessboard), sees the alliance as the instrument of anÔintegrated, comprehensive and long-term geostrategy for all of Eurasia,Õ in which NATO would eventually reach Asia, where another American-led alliance would link Pacific and Southeast Asian states.Ó 3.ÊHolbrooke never speaks of Bosnia-Herzegovina, the countryÕs full name, but ofÒBosnia,Ó and uses the termÒBosnianÓ for the Bosnian Muslims alone, a usage implying that the Muslims are somehow moreÒBosnianÓ than the Serbs or Croats living there. This usage, although in contradiction with the notion ofÒBosniaÓ as an ideal multicultural society, is common among its supporters. In this regard, little attention is paid to the fact that President Alija IzetbegovicÕs ruling Islamic political party, the Democratic Action Party, has from the start included Muslims who live outside Bosnia, notably in the Novi Pazar region of Serbia, and thus are notÒBosniansÓ at all. 4.ÊOn June 1, 1992, United Nations Security Resolution 757 imposed on Yugoslavia what the New York Times calledÒthe most sweeping economic and other sanctions it has ever imposed, including a trade embargo, a ban on oil sales to the Belgrade government and an end to all sports and cultural links.Ó These extraordinarily severe sanctions not only caused hardship to the population while offering smugglers opportunities for enrichment; they severely restricted normal communication between Serbia and the outside world, making it that much easier to portray the Serbs as monsters. 5.ÊThe 1992 U.N. sanctions against Serbia were imposed as punishment for a supposed invasion, which had not taken place. Rather, Yugoslav army units stationed there had withdrawn by the time the sanctions were imposed. Before the Yugoslav army withdrew, it had lost soldiers to the opposing new armies and indeed left most of its heavy equipment to the Bosnian Serbs, who benefited from Serbian financial support. In contrast, Croatia actually did send its own armed forces into Bosnia-Herzegovina to carve out an ethnically pure Croatian territory known asÒHerceg-Bosna,Ó and has never been punished with more than half-hearted reprimands. 6.ÊÒSerbsÔnot guiltyÕ of massacre: Experts warned US that mortar was Bosnian,Ó The Sunday Times (London), Oct. 1, 1995, p. 15. The Times defense correspondent Hugh McManners reported that the British experts saidÒFrench analysts who also examined the scene agreed with them. But they were overruled by a senior American officer, and the U.N. issued a statement saying it was beyond any doubt that the Bosnian Serbs were responsible for the blast, in which 37 people were killed and 90 wounded. ÒThe carnage was used as a pretext for NATOÕs huge air campaign against the Bosnian Serbs, which was followed by extensive battlefield losses, and forced the Serbs to the negotiating table....The British experts were in a U.N. crater-analysis team that reached the Trznica market in Sarajevo 40 minutes after the mortar attack on the morning of August 28....Ó 7.ÊIn contrast, the French commander to whom Mladic had addressed his letter, General Bernard Janvier, was insisting that it was possible to start negotiations with the Bosnian Serbs (p. 128). 8.ÊThe United States never normalized relations, and early in 1998, just as economic relations between Yugoslavia and the European Union were starting to be normalized, the Kosovo crisis brought a new round of sanctions against BelgradeÐincluding a ban on its civilian airline, JAT, whose business is being picked up by European carriers. 9.ÊThe unilateral undertaking called for the Serbs to remove all their heavy weapons from the Sarajevo area, essentially surrendering their positions there. The parallel with the recent Kosovo agreement is obvious. 10.ÊI have heard this belief expressed in numerous private conversations with Serbs, notably during a trip to Serbia in June 1998. 11.ÊBosnia: A Short History, 1994, and Kosovo: A Short History. See Aleksa Djilas,ÒImagining Kosovo: A Biased New Account Fans Western Confusion,Ó Foreign Affairs, Sept./Oct. 1998, pp. 124-31. 12.ÊSee CovertAction Quarterly, No. 65, Autumn 1998. Deichmann shows that a British TV photographer filmed Muslims from within a barbed wire enclosure, thus creating the illusion that the Muslims were imprisoned behind a barbed wire fence, which was not the case. 13.ÊDocumentation sent to the Hague Tribunal on crimes against humanity in Muslim camps for Serbs in Sarajevo, Srebrenica, Zenica, Dretelj near Mostar, Tarcin, etc., has been ignored. Only the case of the Celebici camp was taken up by the Tribunal thanks to a chance encounter between a Serbian-American woman and the Hague prosecutor at the time, Richard Goldstone, at a U.S. cocktail party. Another indication of the importance ofÒsocial relations.Ó This documentation has been collected by a number of women, including Maritsa Mattei, who lives in Paris and has visited the Tribunal on several occasions. 14.ÊThe Serbs have constantly claimed that the three notorious Sarajevo bomb massacres of civilians (the May 27, 1992,Òbreadline massacre,Ó which occurred on the eve of the U.N. vote on sanctions against Serbia; the Feb. 5, 1994, massacre of shoppers in the Sarajevo market, followed by an ultimatum demanding withdrawal of Serb heavy weapons; and the Aug. 28, 1995, slaughter referred to above) were in fact staged by Muslims to gain international support.ÒBlack propaganda,Ó committing atrocities to be attributed to the other side, is not unusual in Middle East conflicts, and is the reason for the question asked in such cases, Who profits from the crime? Outside professionals such as the Mujahidin with the toy bombs would be prime suspects for that sort of operation. 15.ÊLaura Silber and Allan Little, Yugoslavia: Death of a Nation (London: Penguin/BBC Books, 1996), p. 211. 16.ÊThe citation, in English, from Silber and Little, p. 215, was read into the record at the farcicalÒRule 16 hearingÓ against Karadzic and Mladic held in The Hague on Sept. 16, 1996. The Tribunal did not allow the presence of an attorney for the defense. 17.ÊRoger Cohen, Hearts Grown Brutal: Sagas of Sarajevo (New York: Random House, 1998), p. 148. 18.ÊÒWhen I asked Milosevic in 1995 about this famous speech, he heatedly denied that it was racist, and charged Ambassador Zimmermann with organizing a Western diplomatic boycott of the speech and the Western press with distorting it. Unfortunately for Milosevic, however, his words and their consequences are on the record,Ó writes Holbrooke (p. 26). On another occasion, Holbrooke and Chris HillÒasked him about his famous 1989 speech at Kosovo that ignited Serb extremism. He vigorously denied that this was his intent.... Chris Hill, who knew the history in detail, defended Zimmermann and reminded Milosevic that the speech had been inflammatory by any standards.Ó 19.ÊHearts Grown Brutal, op. cit., n. 17, pp. 272-73. -- Source: Covert Action Quarterly, Winter 1999 Number 66 Web: http://www.covertaction.org/ -- -- end forwarded message --